Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 11.164030 12.744605 14.475183 16.511645 18.843942 21.433348 24.528774
2026-01-25 8.807917 10.827715 13.211046 16.234660 19.974584 24.456975 30.249693
2026-02-01 7.411476 9.601767 12.327213 15.975183 20.742649 26.778966 35.030552
2026-02-08 6.407454 8.665992 11.601600 15.708213 21.324637 28.766499 39.425444
2026-02-15 5.633113 7.907814 10.978264 15.441465 21.792002 30.546984 43.609442
2026-02-22 5.300119 7.696297 11.043707 16.082559 23.515926 34.142240 50.601751
2026-03-01 4.908572 7.349573 10.867466 16.333879 24.667686 36.981968 56.720502
2026-03-08 4.491171 6.916390 10.512933 16.267334 25.310232 39.086647 61.879539
2026-03-15 4.114874 6.505002 10.145214 16.130603 25.806890 40.975815 66.829629
2026-03-22 3.939407 6.386249 10.209530 16.663329 27.386002 44.665931 74.977005
2026-03-29 3.761771 6.245018 10.220350 17.100015 28.830566 48.237257 83.223642
2026-04-05 3.628357 6.162246 10.313921 17.672539 30.536376 52.361997 92.761210
2026-04-12 3.318338 5.759805 9.849940 17.267490 30.548263 53.634612 97.466756
2026-04-19 3.061074 5.426393 9.475120 16.982487 30.739806 55.225041 102.876850
2026-04-26 2.832468 5.123577 9.127034 16.710531 30.921117 56.793676 108.360282
2026-05-03 2.625193 4.841667 8.792277 16.430925 31.056123 58.272950 113.782782
2026-05-10 2.437583 4.580437 8.473514 16.151549 31.160819 59.689999 119.188877
2026-05-17 2.395512 4.587893 8.649307 16.823001 33.144120 64.846024 132.490084
2026-05-24 2.302393 4.489847 8.617702 17.086232 34.340914 68.554114 143.164174
2026-05-31 2.175619 4.316097 8.426984 17.016532 34.858134 70.938374 151.276132
2026-06-07 2.050355 4.135667 8.209320 16.873321 35.208688 73.002385 158.875789
2026-06-14 2.010946 4.125462 8.328544 17.431303 37.066705 78.339551 174.084844
2026-06-21 1.962303 4.092297 8.398057 17.888710 38.744366 83.424146 189.189418